The inevitable question that pops up in the comments when this happens, is how long the time span is between registration of a camera and its announcement.
To answer that, I looked back to the past time span between registrations and announcements, and here is what we see:
1 month = 4 cameras (X-T2, X-E3, X-T100, X-T30)
2 months = 3 cameras (X-T20, X100F, XF10)
3 months = 3 cameras (X-T3, GFX50R, GFX100)
6 months = 1 camera (X-H1)
It’s clear that we usually get a camera between 1 and 3 months after registration (with exception of X-H1, which needed 6 months).
Clearly this would indicate of 3 cameras coming within November, although the X-H1 shows that a longer wait is not impossible, hence an announcement within February 2020 (6 months).
What could these cameras be?
The contact form on FujiRumors is open for any hint (thanks), and the comments for the wildest speculations :).
check out here – Release Timeline for Fujifilm X-T4, X-H2, X-T40, X-Pro3, X100V, X-E4, X-T200 and X-A6 Based on Fuji’s Previous Camera Releases
I calculated, that the Fujifilm X100 series got a refresh every 2 years, which is absolutely correct. But then, based on that refresh cycle, I said that the X100V should come two years after the X100F (which was announced in January 2017).
But this would mean the Fujifilm X100V should have hit the market in January 2019, which evidently it has not. Our sources say it will come at some point in 2020.
Now, not to justify my error, but, well, I run FujiRumors 365 days a year non stop, and I wrote that particular article in a bar, drinking beer, while waiting for the rain to stop and finally go out shooting again with my X-E3, as you can see here. Well, at this point I’ll just say is that it rained a lot that day ;)
I apologize if I confused you guys, so I felt I need to address this in a dedicated article.
But also, this is a good opportunity to quickly discuss, why Fujifilm is waiting so long, to finally give us a successor to the Fujifilm X100F.
I am a Fujifilm dinosaur, and as such, I have good memory of the Fuji past.
So for those of you, who didn’t read FujiRumors over the past 8 years, or joined the Fuji X system just recently, you must know that the Fujifilm X-E line faced complicated times.
However, I have no other travels planed, given that I married in May and must a little bit recover financially now (*).
So, together with my wife we decided to spend most of our summer just hiking on the mountains around my home. And frankly, I do not desire nor need more than this right now.
So, to justify the fact that I still own the X-T1, I took it out for a recent mountain hike, put it into my Camslinger bag, and shot again a whole day with it.
It was like rediscovering the Fujifilm X-T1, and here are 3 things I loved and hated about shooting with it again.
Looking at the Fujifilm X series camera release timeline we shared last year, and comparing it with the current rumors, we can say that it turns out to be pretty accurate… except for one camera: the Fujifilm X100F successor (may it be called X100V or X200 or whatever)
The X100 line had a refresh cycle of about 2 years, and given that the X100F was launched in January 2017, everybody speculates it will come very soon, at least within 2019.
But trusted sources now informed us, that the Fujifilm X100V (or X200) will be launched in 2020 only!
This time Fujifilm decided to wait longer than ever to give us a successor.
And by the way, if you want to know which is the Fujifilm facebook group with less gear talk, less gear shots, less gear discussions and mostly focussed on the art of photography and images, than this is definitely our Fujifilm X100 facebook group.
I think this is representative for the people, who buy this camera: never think about gear again. Get the camera, one lens only, and go out and shoot. It’s all about being focused on taking pictures.
In times, where we are bombarded with marketing material about Full Frame mirrorless cameras, Jason wonders if he should switch to FF from his Fujifilm X-T2.
But instead of just following the hype (and the GAS), he decided to applied a methodology that helps him to decide more objectively if such a switch would make sense.
First he list the 5 most important characteristics he looks for in a camera according to importance:
The results showed him that he can save himself the $6,000+ he’d need to switch to the Sony A7III (+ lenses he needs), since it ranks even below the camera he already uses, the Fujifilm X-T2.
He concludes that he better spends that money for nice trip with his X-T2.
Of course everybody will get different results, depending on which top 5 features you select and which importance you assign to them.
So which one is the right call for you?
Use Jason’s methodology, download and edit his “Cure Your GAS Excel Spreadsheet” on dropbox here, and let’s see if Fujifilm is still the right call also for you.
Altough I find this a cool methodology, I personally won’t make this test, since I already know that what need to reach ultimate photographic happiness is an X-E4 with tilt screen and this XF 27mmF2.8 with aperture ring.
Today’s rumor, though, suggest that Fujifilm anticipates the release of the X-Pro2 successor. My personal guess (NOT RUMOR) is that this will happen towards the end of 2019, hence being very close to the January 2020 date.
But to be clear, I have no time indication, which could mean the Fujifilm X-Pro3 could be annouced anytime in 2019. I will let you you know more details as soon as I can.
It’s time to put some order in the myriad of rumors, and give you guys a timeline of the Fujifilm products that will come in 2019, as well as give a quick glance at 2020.
This is just an approximate timeline, that I will update as soon as I get new information.
January/April 2019
Fujifilm X-T30*
Fujinon XF16mm f/2.8 R WR*
Fujinon GF 100-200mm f/5.6 R LM OIS WR*
* based on our rumors
May/August 2019
Fujinon GFX100*
Fujinon XF16-80mm f/4 R LM OIS WR**
Fujinon GF 50mm f/3.5 LM WR***
* based on our rumors ** our sources say XF 16-80 will not come in early 2019
*** just an educated guess by FujiRumors, but it could make sense to announce it along with Fujifilm GFX100
September/December 2019
Fujifilm X-Pro3*
Fujifilm X100F Successor*
* based on reports at techardar. I place them in the second half of 2019, because I do not think their release is imminent (if techradar is right about 2019 release)
Top Possible Bonus Gear in 2019/2020
Fujinon GF 80mm f/1.4 R LM WR*
Fujifilm X80**
older XF lenses refresh***
*based on rumor ** wishful thinking based on XF10 disappointment :) *** no rumors. but please, FUJI, PLEASE!!!
Coming 2020
Fujifilm X-H2*
Fujinon XF33mm f/1.0 R LM WR**
Fujinon GF 45-100mm f/4 R LM OIS WR**
* our sources say it will not be released in 2019, hence must be sometimes in 2020, since I don’t think Fuji will wait until 2021
** based on official Fujifilm roadmap
